Past Predictions Archive


Each year we try to gather predictions on specific topics for the year ahead. The current year (2015) predictions can be entered at https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/3TCQS9S. Anyone is welcome to enter.

An Excel spreadsheet of predictions from past annual contests can be downloaded here –predictions-archive 2014.

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  1. #1 by Ron Weissenberg on January 6, 2015 - 6:49 pm

    Hi Trevor,

    Great to see this initiative re-launched J

    Happy happy 2015 J

    Just a point to irritate you… (sorry). The survey only allows whole numbers, not fractions – makes it interesting though.

    Regards

    Ron

  2. #2 by Stephen on January 7, 2015 - 10:33 am

    Sorry Ron – I only noticed it after sending out the survey. Now that some responses have been collected, I can’t change it any more without affecting the data collected. Next year I will make those fields free form text, so if you like to predict that the value of gold will be exactly “tortoise”, that will be fine. I think in this case, the only one that will be affected, will be the price of silver, which is quite low… so a large percentage change could still be within the same whole number. The rest are all fairly high numbers, so decimals should not be significant.

    Stephen.

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