In August 2012 I finally got round to calculating the 2011 predictions, which I published on this blog and invited readers to submit their predictions for end of 2012, then just 5 months away. Only one person took advantage of this unique opportunity, and he becomes by default the Libsa prediction winner for 2012, and the only person to have won this little competition twice. Congratulations, Stephen Van Jaarsveldt – now officially the libertarian future guru!
Herewith, the official results:
|Predictions for 31st December 2012 made on Libsa website in August 2012|
The Average Difference is calculated by subtracting the actual value for an index from your prediction, dividing that by the standard deviation, then averaging across all your predictions.
If you would like to submit predictions for 2013, add a comment to this article in which you provide estimates for the following indexes as at 31/12/2013, and up to 6 verbal predictions on any subject:
- Gold price
- Oil price
You too could enter the Libertarian Hall of Fame, whose winners currently are:
|2002||Jim Harris||Norman Davis||Andre Heydenrych|
|2003||Bryan Lever||Trevor Watkins||Laurence Caromea|
|2004||Suzanne McGinn||Dylan Watkins||Dougie Shaw|
|2009||Janette Eldridge||Mike Cross||Trevor Watkins|
|2010||Stephen van Jaarsveldt||Mike Cross||Ron Weissenberg|
|2011||Ron Weissenberg||Stephen van Jaarsveldt||Erich Viedge|
|2012||Stephen van Jaarsveldt|