2010 Predictions


Click here to obtain original Excel predictions spreadsheet – 2010-2002 predictions .

Happy New Year to our many thousands of readers!

With the new year comes the analysis of the predictions made by 8 intrepid prognosticators in the course of 2010, and an opportunity to add your own predictions for 2011. Read further for details.

Predictions for 31st December 2010 made via email  in April 2010
Avg Diff JSE DOW FTSE Gold R/$ Oil
Name
Stephen van Jaarsveldt 0.48 30500 11800 5800 1350 7.15 95
Mike Cross 0.72 33000 12500 5000 1300 7.00 95
Ron Weissenberg 0.80 29900 10768 5700 1400 8.35 75
Janette Eldridge 0.97 26000 11000 5500 1500 8.00 90
Jasson Urbach 0.99 32750 12300 6200 1385 8.50 90
Trevor Watkins 2.03 40000 15000 7000 3000 7.50 120
Jan Barnard 3.92 27500 950 8.00 110
Leon Louw
Average 0.73 31379 12228 5867 1555 7.79 96
STD 4578 1522 680 660 0.58 15
Actual 0.00 32413 10431 5900 1409 6.65 95
Name Prediction 1 Prediction 2 Prediction 3 Prediction 4 Prediction 5 Prediction 6 Prediction 7
Mike Cross SA last in WC pool Water restrictions lifted in J Bay Mugabe is history Sea level rises 3mm Another Zuma sexual or child scandal
Ron Weissenberg Soccer World Cup – a damp squid. Lots of hype, no material contribution to economy or national pride. Greater awareness of a shifting of the age – 21st December 2012, People start discussing preparations and making plans for the ‘end’ Racial tensions in RSA increase. First Right-Wing white SA backlash – an attack, bomb explosion..blacks are murdered by white moderates. Robert Mugabe dies or is very ill and unable to lead US economy shows strong recovery.
Janette Eldridge Unnatural death of at least one visitor during World Cup Theft of at least one WC player’s possessions FIFA declares SA 2010 WC a success Plane crash enquiry into cause being linked to volcano ash Zuma/  Magabe/ Malema continue to hold present positions LibSem takes place 2010 US building blown up
Jasson Urbach Bulls will beat the Stormers A non-SA male will win Comrades Marathon SA will come last in Group A in soccer WC Comp Com will find ACSA guilty of anti-competitive behaviour More doctors will leave SA as uncertainty over NHI increases At the MTBPS: The introduction of a new tax will be suggested A generics manufacturer will pull out of SA as calls for state-manufacturing increase
Trevor Watkins Major negative incident during WC Tripartite alliance splits Mugabe dead Xenophobic violence recurs in SA EU threatened by sovereign debt crisis US inflation rises to 20% Political turmoil in China
Jan Barnard Heavy floods in EC DA wins some local elections
Leon Louw Greece bankruptcy to be followed by another, perhaps Portugal, and non-recovery from meltdown slow disappearance of COPE continuing failure by DA to implement any pro-liberty or pro-market reforms in the local governments and the province it controls severe post-World Cup withdrawal symptoms (losses, layoffs etc) for many SA business at least one serious strike during or immediately before World Cup
Name Nett=Correct-wrong predictions Mandela alive Conspiracy revealed SA 2nd round in  WC WC winning team British election winner
Stephen van Jaarsveldt (2)=1-3 no yes Germany Cameron
Mike Cross (3)=3-6 yes no Germany Clegg
Ron Weissenberg (8)=0-8 yes England
Janette Eldridge 2=6-4 Yes No Brazil
Jasson Urbach 4=7-3 Yes No Spain
Trevor Watkins 0=6-6 no yes no Brazil Cameron
Jan Barnard (2)=2-4 no no Brazil Brown
Leon Louw 3=4-1
Actual 5 Yes Yes (wikileaks) No Spain Cameron /Clegg

Despite a turbulent year in world economic markets, things were pretty much the same at the end of 2010 as they were at the start.  Those predicting little change seemed to do best, and my own wildly optimistic predictions turned out to be just that. Many of the verbal predictions seemed to betray the predictor’s hopes and fears, rather than a reasoned look into the future. Perhaps this year will be better?

For the non-numeric predictions, I calculated a Nett correct figure, which is the correct predictions minus the incorrect ones. Can’t really allocate a winner here as people offered varying numbers of predictions, of varying quality, although Jasson Urbach and Janette Eldridge seemed to be doing well.

The Average Difference is calculated by subtracting the actual value for an index from your prediction, dividing that by the standard deviation, then averaging across all your predictions.  On this basis, Stephen van Jaarsveldt wins on his first outing, followed by Mike Cross and Ron Weissenberg.  Well done, Stephen!  Our averaged prediction is not too shabby, either, coming in 3rd overall – just goes to show there IS wisdom in the crowd.

If you would like to submit predictions for 2011, add a comment to this article in which you provide estimates for the following indexes as at 31/12/2011, and up to 6 verbal predictions on any subject:

  1. Jse
  2. Dow
  3. FTSE
  4. Gold price
  5. Rand/Dollar
  6. Oil price

You too could enter the Libertarian Hall of Fame, whose winners currently are:

Year 1st 2nd 3rd
2002 Jim Harris Norman Davis Andre Heydenrych
2003 Bryan Lever Trevor Watkins Laurence Caromea
2004 Suzanne McGinn Dylan Watkins Dougie Shaw
2009 Janette Eldridge Mike Cross Trevor Watkins
2010 Stephen van Jaarsveldt Mike Cross Ron Weissenberg
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  1. #1 by Trevor Watkins on January 4, 2011 - 5:09 pm

    31/12/2011 predictions from Trevor Watkins

    Jse 20,000
    Dow 7,000
    FTSE 4,000
    Gold price 3,000
    Rand/Dollar 5
    Oil price 150

    Predictions
    1. Chaos in financial markets as many countries and states default
    2. US dollar dropped as world reserve currency
    3. Widespread rioting in western democracies due to austerity measures
    4. Inflation above 20% in many countries, including USA, UK, RSA
    5. RSA becomes increasingly indebted, cannot balance books, RSA unemployment rises, widespread jobless protests
    6. Major natural disaster somewhere in world

  2. #2 by Stephen on January 4, 2011 - 9:35 pm

    31/12/2011 predictions from Stephen;

    1.Jse – 36300
    2.Dow – 10950
    3.FTSE – 6250
    4.Gold price – $1450
    5.Rand/Dollar – R6.80
    6.Oil price – $95

    Predictions;
    1. An advanced economy will be said to have “collapsed” because it’s government is bankrupt (having cash flow issues) and that will be blamed on the free market. If it is… France, I’d like a bonus point.
    2. Some wildly popular NEW scam will take hold, be exposed and disappear… like Power Balance Bracelets.
    3. The SA government will come up with some NEW hairbrain scheme to steal our freedom i.e. NHI, restricted drinking hours, fixing LP gas prices, nationalising mines… something like that.

    • #3 by Stephen on August 27, 2011 - 4:05 pm

      Looks like my predictions are well on the way to a win… figures 1 to 3 are a bit lower and 4 to 6 a bit higher, but…
      1. Greece and the USA. Check.
      2. I might have missed it or maybe it is still coming…
      3. It seems they want to force people to save for retirement… http://www.fin24.com/Money/Treasury-Saving-must-become-law-20110821. Check.
      [Gleeful rubbing of hands]
      S.

  3. #4 by Erich Viedge on January 5, 2011 - 8:49 am

    Jse 38000
    Dow 6500
    FTSE 6500
    Gold price $2000
    Rand/Dollar $6,50 (but after lots of ups and downs)
    Oil price $100

    1. Towards the end of the year the inherent dollar weakness will make itself felt in world markets. The dollar will weaken even further against other currencies. If even one African country starts to actively prefer the Euro or Yuan, that will cause catastrophic flight from the dollar. Catastrophic for Americans, anyway.
    2. The Gold Price will increase (partly as people want safe investments, partly as the dollar weakens)
    3. The Oil Price will increase in dollars, also due largely to dollar weakness.
    4. Mugabe will live another year.
    5. There will be no Muslim terror attacks on Western Nations in 2011
    6. Steve Jobs will announce his semi-retirement from Apple
    7. The DA will make gains in the Municipal elections in October
    8. There will be power cuts in Winter 2011 like we haven’t seen before. Global Warming pundits will get very worked up about this.

    • #5 by Stephen on August 27, 2011 - 4:07 pm

      Oh, number 6… well done !

  4. #6 by Stephen on January 5, 2011 - 8:57 pm

    Following some digging, I want to adjust my prediction about the gold price downwards. Using long term historical figures, meat is supremely cheap relative to both silver and gold, which is one indicator of an over-valuation of the one or under-valuation of the other or both. If the recent price of beef is realistic, then gold should be around $120/oz. No, that is not missing a zero. Using only one indicator is misleading, so if silver is under-valued, then gold should be around $900/oz. If not, gold should be around $500/oz. The $ may be over- or under-valued too, in which case it could be >$500/oz and >$900/oz or <$500/oz and <$900/oz depending respectively. One should look at more indicators as well as reserves, magnitudes and flows of each relative to the others, but all of the ones I look at put gold lower than it currently is. The cause may be any combination of factors and they are on a scale rather than Boolean… so, despite expectations of a very weak $, I’m saying $750/oz at the end of 2011. If I am to be thrown with rocks, at least let them be shiny. There is a bubble of epic proportions… but I will keep my prediction of it's cataclysmic bursting (at which time a bag of gold coin with which to walk bare-foot across a mountain border post will be useful) for another year. When that happens, the value of gold will anyway be measured in cigarettes, not dollars.

    • #7 by Trevor Watkins on January 6, 2011 - 9:41 am

      Actually, Stephen, I was thinking of throwing slabs of meat at you, (1)because its cheap, and (2)because I think your predictions are (Lady) Gaga.

      Firstly, I was not aware that meat was particularly cheap at the moment. I have just read that hamburger meat rose 30% in price in the USA last year. While I have heard that farm commodity prices are currently low (due perhaps to improved production techniques, good harvests, new producers), I don’t think they are a major factor in the turmoil in world financial markets.

      Secondly, I believe the rise in the gold and other commodity prices will be driven by a flight from the collapsing dollar, not by any long term pricing trend. The USA has R133 trillion in debts and obligations. Thats $1.7 million for every family of four in the US. The best way for the US government to pay down this debt will be to make the dollar worth about the same as a yen or a yuan. (See previous Watkins theory that all currency values tend towards unity). I believe this to be current US policy.

      Thirdly, recent history of the gold price would seem to prove you wrong. How long has this imbalance in meat/gold price existed? Why has gold continued to strengthen? Why do YOU think the meat price is currently low?

      You buy your pork bellies, I’m investing my millions in gold and precious metals, and othertangible products with long shelf lives.

      • #8 by Stephen on January 8, 2011 - 9:25 am

        I should not have said why I am adjusting my prediction downwards and should just have said $750/oz… my idea is not to justify my predictions or to debate their validity. I give them and we see who is right about 350 days from now. There is more behind it than the few notes on meat I posted above, so I should rather have said nothing or should have given the full story (which I don’t have time for).

        That said, please note that I also said that I believe there is a bubble of epic proportions existing and that gold will be the thing to have when that bursts. I just don’t think that will happen in 2011… it might in 2012 or 2016 or… So in that sense we agree, just not about the timing… and if I get the timing wrong, your prediction may well turn out to be better than mine. Let’s wait and see.

  5. #9 by Ron Weissenberg on January 6, 2011 - 5:31 pm

    Predictions for 31st Dec 2011
    ————————————-

    JSE: 36 900
    DOW: 13 500
    FTSE 100: 6500
    Gold Price: US $ 1850
    Rand/Dollar: R7-10
    Oil Price: US $ 115-00

    Trevor – thank you again for providing creative entertaiment to us who shall be cynical, not easily amused, argumentative and flatulent at the best of times. Meat is expensive at the retailers, but find a friendly farmer in your ‘hood and you can do lots better on price (oh…and you will have to tell them you are at least 8th generation Eastern Capetonian, else they whack you with a “Transvaal/ Ex-Joh’burghian levy” of 123%).
    My predictions carry no particular expertise, educated logarithmic calculations, dreamlines or mystical sense – so apologies. All I can lay claim to is a Darwinian evolutionary thing called “sniotciderp hsiwej” . This backward genetic potential developed over 5 millennia gives certain Semitic religious types at least 12 months predictive ability to prevent being obliterated.

    6 Verbal Predictions
    ————————–

    1) SA ends the year with more Escom power without adding power stations due inter alia to a shrinking industrial base and lower power requirements.
    2) Few to none “quality jobs” are created. Government policy moves to stop shedding of existing private sector jobs, not by alterning legistation but by employing more public servants.
    3) SA Matric pass rate *declines* over 2010 results due to no 6 week July school holidays and no strikes ie: students denied the ability to educate themselves and show up that no teaching is better than existing average public schooling efforts.
    4) No worldwide endemic plague yet to reduce population growth and numbers.
    5) Bartering/no cash exchange websites and services proliferate as people try new economic order coping mechanisms.
    6) First legal challenge to constitutionality and morality of income taxation is launched in SA.

    • #10 by Trevor Watkins on January 22, 2011 - 10:08 am

      I love your insight that SA students did better in Matric this year due to LESS teaching. Its close to my observation that I tend to be healthier the less I see doctors. I also remember the consternation at De Beers when they found that the night shift was consistently more productive than the day shift, when all those nosy engineers weren’t around.

      • #11 by Ron Weissenberg on January 23, 2011 - 3:20 pm

        Apparently, there is a website somewhere dedicated to counter-intuitive /counter media-induced reasoning. One of the more elegant hypotheses was that the dramatic reduction in New York’s crime rate had much more to do with decriminalised abortion (Roe vs. Wade 1972) than the ‘Broken Window’ and zero tolerance policy adopted in the late 1980’s by Bratton and then Guliani. The contention was that the majority of abortions were carried out on low-income, uneducated, young women whose offspring were almost certain to mature into gang-members and criminals. By the early 1990’s, the effects of a smaller young adult criminal population became evident.
        It would be good perhaps to use this forum to submit counter-intuitive views. Do you have more?

        • #12 by Stephen on January 23, 2011 - 5:31 pm

          The Roe vs. Wade explanation was made popular by Levitt and Dubner – those charlatants from Freakonomics. They didn’t check their facts properly and the whole thing is debunked around page 118 of Freedomnomics by John R Lott. Watch out for websites and popular press.

          • #13 by Stephen on January 23, 2011 - 5:33 pm

            Especially when it promotes eugenics, government power, disarming citizens or other such dangerous hoo-haa.

          • #14 by Stephen on January 23, 2011 - 5:43 pm

            In fact, Lott says on p.118 that abortion actually increases crime. On p.131 he shows that affirmative action in the police force was a big factor in increased crime later (when those aborted kids were still not born). I recommend this book to all.

        • #15 by Trevor Watkins on January 25, 2011 - 10:48 am

          I had a bit of a counter-intuitive breakthrough myself, just this morning. I have been reading Michael Crichton’s “Sphere”, whose central theme is the power of imagination, particularly when augmented by alien forces.
          I have always subscribed to the view that everyone always makes rational choices to enhance their wellbeing, based on their available information. When people appear to make irrational choices, it is due to defects in the available information. The clincher in this argument has always been “Why would anyone make a choice to make their circumstances worse?” But that argument assumes rationality.
          Crichton suggests that humans have an irrational side, rather like the Jungian “dark side”. The irrational side does not require a motive, reasonable or otherwise, for its actions. It just does what it does, sensible or insane. There seems to be much evidence for the existence of this irrational side. For example, suicide can never be justified rationally, since it implies the extinguishing of the rational mind in control. The many bizarre choices that people make on a daily basis can be better explained by irrationality than by ignorance.
          Or is this just my irrational side speaking?

  6. #16 by Bedles from Melbourne on January 22, 2011 - 4:27 am

    A rebel voice from (otherwise) denialist Strylia:
    I suggest the elephant in the room (planet) is climate change which will gazump everything. I suggest that it is changing the climate at a rate faster than has ever been known in the history of human civilisation. If a 1 degree Centrigrade change in temperature used to take centuries to happen, nothing/no-one noticed. If it takes 10 years (as in currently), we will notice. It will lead to increased extreme weather, globally – i.e. quicker, deeper wets, colder longer colds, longer drier hots, fires and winds, less fish and other species, displacement of millions of people, destruction of local economies and personal livelihoods and see the start of migration of entire communities to new locations as insurance companies refuse to finance another round of replacement of destroyed property. Floods described as “once in 200 years floods” will be recognised (in the new paradign of warming oceans) as misleading descriptions encouraging false sense of security because similar floods will quite possibly happen again, in the same place, a month later or the next year. This is because the oceans are warming at an accelerated rate, evaporating more water than before and have to dump it somewhere. The Arctic will cease to have ice in summer, resulting in a 900% increase in radiant heat being absorbed by the ocean in that area, thus slowing of the northern ocean currents and displacing them. As a consequence, Europe, especially UK, will experience much more extreme winters with deeper snow and warmer (hot??!!) summers (for which, initially, they may be grateful until the Channel overwhelms the tidal defences in the Thames, causing flooding in the City of London (possibly Parliament?!) Will the Underground become the Underwater? All of these things will have an effect on economies, making plumbers and electricians, insurance brokers and constuction/infrastructure industry workers wealthy. Governments will be displaced, wars will break out over access to food and drinkable water with rich vs poor battling each other as envy and nothing-to-lose overtakes stability. Massive population movement of displaced climate refugees will head for countries that are perceived to still have workable infrastructure, food and water. Happy New Year – it will be worse next year.

    • #17 by Trevor Watkins on January 22, 2011 - 9:42 am

      Hi Bede – great to hear from you again.

      Climate is a tough prediction to call. The eastern Cape is in the grip of a severe drought, but it is raining today, with warnings of floods. Just read that the Richtersveld, that vast, bone dry land to the west of the Northern Cape, is threatened by floods in the next few days. Large parts of semi-arid South Africa and eastern Australia are underwater. Personally, I believe that change is what climates do. As we get older, and our climate records get older, we tend to think that the current climate is not like the climate we remember as kids, and this irks us. We hanker for the good old days, when Russia was cold, Australia was dry and England was wet. But cycles like the El Nino-La Nina Pacific hot spot guarantee that things will change from one decade to the next. Variations in sunspot activity, totally beyond our control, will have far more effect on the planet than us puny humans.
      The best we can do, as humans, is to try to avoid doing dumb stuff in the face of reasonably predictable climate variations. Don’t build houses in low lying areas and hope for no rain, don’t plant crops in arid areas and hope for rain, don’t make other people poorer rather than richer. We have enough trouble with nature without becoming our own worst enemies.

  7. #18 by Trevor Watkins on January 28, 2011 - 7:51 am

    We are not the only ones who battle to predict the future. Herewith the 10 worst predictions for 2010, according to the Foreign Policy website.
    http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2010/12/17/the_10_worst_predictions_for_2010?page=0,0&wpisrc=obinsite

  8. #19 by Trevor Watkins on February 17, 2011 - 5:01 pm

    10 Trends for 2011

    by Gerald Celente

    Trends we have previously identified, and that have been brewing for some time, will reach maturity in 2011, impacting just about everyone in the world.After the tumultuous years of the Great Recession, a battered people may wish that 2011 will bring a return to kinder, gentler times. But that is not what we are predicting. Instead, the fruits of government and institutional action – and inaction – on many fronts will ripen in unplanned-for fashions.

    1. Wake-Up Call In 2011, the people of all nations will fully recognize how grave economic conditions have become, how ineffectual and self-serving the so-called solutions have been, and how dire the consequences will be. Having become convinced of the inability of leaders and know-it-all “arbiters of everything” to fulfill their promises, the people will do more than just question authority, they will defy authority. The seeds of revolution will be sown….

    2. Crack-Up 2011 Among our Top Trends for last year was the “Crash of 2010.” What happened? The stock market didn’t crash. We know. We made it clear in our Autumn Trends Journal that we were not forecasting a stock market crash – the equity markets were no longer a legitimate indicator of recovery or the real state of the economy. Yet the reliable indicators (employment numbers, the real estate market, currency pressures, sovereign debt problems) all bordered between crisis and disaster. In 2011, with the arsenal of schemes to prop them up depleted, we predict “Crack-Up 2011”: teetering economies will collapse, currency wars will ensue, trade barriers will be erected, economic unions will splinter, and the onset of the “Greatest Depression” will be recognized by everyone….

    3. Screw the People As times get even tougher and people get even poorer, the “authorities” will intensify their efforts to extract the funds needed to meet fiscal obligations. While there will be variations on the theme, the governments’ song will be the same: cut what you give, raise what you take.

    4. Crime Waves No job + no money + compounding debt = high stress, strained relations, short fuses. In 2011, with the fuse lit, it will be prime time for Crime Time. When people lose everything and they have nothing left to lose, they lose it. Hardship-driven crimes will be committed across the socioeconomic spectrum by legions of the on-the-edge desperate who will do whatever they must to keep a roof over their heads and put food on the table….

    5. Crackdown on Liberty As crime rates rise, so will the voices demanding a crackdown. A national crusade to “Get Tough on Crime” will be waged against the citizenry. And just as in the “War on Terror,” where “suspected terrorists” are killed before proven guilty or jailed without trial, in the “War on Crime” everyone is a suspect until proven innocent….

    6. Alternative Energy In laboratories and workshops unnoticed by mainstream analysts, scientific visionaries and entrepreneurs are forging a new physics incorporating principles once thought impossible, working to create devices that liberate more energy than they consume. What are they, and how long will it be before they can be brought to market? Shrewd investors will ignore the “can’t be done” skepticism, and examine the newly emerging energy trend opportunities that will come of age in 2011….

    7. Journalism 2.0 Though the trend has been in the making since the dawn of the Internet Revolution, 2011 will mark the year that new methods of news and information distribution will render the 20th century model obsolete. With its unparalleled reach across borders and language barriers, “Journalism 2.0” has the potential to influence and educate citizens in a way that governments and corporate media moguls would never permit. Of the hundreds of trends we have forecast over three decades, few have the possibility of such far-reaching effects….

    8. Cyberwars Just a decade ago, when the digital age was blooming and hackers were looked upon as annoying geeks, we forecast that the intrinsic fragility of the Internet and the vulnerability of the data it carried made it ripe for cyber-crime and cyber-warfare to flourish. In 2010, every major government acknowledged that Cyberwar was a clear and present danger and, in fact, had already begun. The demonstrable effects of Cyberwar and its companion, Cybercrime, are already significant – and will come of age in 2011. Equally disruptive will be the harsh measures taken by global governments to control free access to the web, identify its users, and literally shut down computers that it considers a threat to national security….

    9. Youth of the World Unite University degrees in hand yet out of work, in debt and with no prospects on the horizon, feeling betrayed and angry, forced to live back at home, young adults and 20-somethings are mad as hell, and they’re not going to take it anymore. Filled with vigor, rife with passion, but not mature enough to control their impulses, the confrontations they engage in will often escalate disproportionately. Government efforts to exert control and return the youth to quiet complacency will be ham-fisted and ineffectual. The Revolution will be televised … blogged, YouTubed, Twittered and….

    10. End of The World! The closer we get to 2012, the louder the calls will be that the “End is Near!” There have always been sects, at any time in history, that saw signs and portents proving the end of the world was imminent. But 2012 seems to hold a special meaning across a wide segment of “End-time” believers. Among the Armageddonites, the actual end of the world and annihilation of the Earth in 2012 is a matter of certainty. Even the rational and informed that carefully follow the news of never-ending global crises, may sometimes feel the world is in a perilous state. Both streams of thought are leading many to reevaluate their chances for personal survival, be it in heaven or on earth….

    Gerald Celente

    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

    Gerald Celente (born November 29, 1946) is an American trend forecaster,[1][2] publisher of the Trends Journal, business consultant[3] and author who makes predictions about the global financial markets and other events of historical importance. Celente has described himself as a “political atheist” and “citizen of the world.”[4] He has appeared as a guest on television news shows such as The Oprah Winfrey Show, The Today Show, Good Morning America, CBS Morning News, The Glenn Beck Show,NBC Nightly News, and Russia Today.[5][6][7]

  9. #20 by Rony on February 26, 2011 - 3:53 pm

    About the 2012 annihilation that is expected, it seems to have passed already due to a discrepancy between the Mayan Calendar and the Gregorian Calendar of 2 years. Please correct me if I am wrong.

  10. #21 by Ron on February 28, 2011 - 11:41 am

    @Rony..the hype and concern around 2012 seems to be largely misplaced. Discrepancies between the various calendars (and calendar interpretation) vary. The general consensus – excluding the pure rationalists, fundamentalists and scaremongers is that there will be no mass anhilation of life or Armageddon upon planet earth/the Universe. The date, or near thereto signifies the ‘critical point’ at which a changing of the age and shift of human consciousness occurs. How exactly this shift manifests and affects humanity is a subject in itself. The middle ground views the changes to be largely positive (depending on your personal filters) and includes all sorts of things, from an overall greater awareness of collective cause and effect, connection with nature, rediscovery of life’s purpose and meaning and an empowerment of the individual in thought and deed.
    According to many, much of the the former is already happening and the quickening of cycles has occurred over several years, thus reducing the shock effect of sudden changes which humanity would find difficult to assimilate and adapt to.

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